How can this have happened? Well, there's certainly been a lot of analysis in the media, ranging from the simplistic, 'what do you expect from Americans? They're mainly morons drip-fed by Fox news' to the, at least more sophisticated, 'it's the inevitable fall-out from thirty years of neo-liberal economic policies that have denuded the American working-class of jobs and security.' Other explanations focus on a resurgent white racism, citing the approval of Trump by a number of white supremacists, including David Duke, ex leader of the Ku Klux Klan. They argue that Trump's comments on minority groups have given a license to a barely concealed racism that has always been there and now has a freedom to express itself more openly, particularly among working-class white males. Others have focused on gender, seeing Hillary Clinton as a victim of entrenched misogyny that is so widespread in American culture that she never really had a chance. Then there are the idiosyncrasies of the voting system that allows someone with a minority overall vote, albeit by a slender margin, win the top prize. There is certainly some truth in all these explanations, but we are still left with the mystery of how someone so odious to most people with a modicum of education and human feeling could find himself - it seems to his own surprise - elected to the most powerful role in world politics. Most people like this who achieve power do so by military coups in impoverished countries often, of course, with the decisive backing of the CIA. So far, no-one seems to have suggested a role for them in this debacle.
What is really surprising is that so many people were utterly and genuinely, surprised. This is, of course, an understatement. They were dumbfounded and devastated. Even after Trump had rampaged through the Primaries and come out on top, even after the attacks upon Latinos and Muslims had only increased support for him, even after his advocacy of sexual assaults on women did nothing to impede his progress, even after twelve women came forward with accounts of his actual assaults on them made no dent in his ratings, still people were amazed that he was the winner. Any one of these could have sunk a candidate in most elections, but Trump brazened it out and was swept to victory on a populist tide of rejection of the status quo and admiration for bigotry dressed up as straight talking. How can we explain this?
Well, as I said earlier, there is some truth in all the explanations popularised in the mainstream media. The idea that many, or most, Americans are simply stupid is clearly a stupid position to take. It is true that, in most senses of the word, America is a deeply conservative society, both politically and culturally, despite the many radical movements that have sprung from there, but in a different manner from the conservatism of British society. Since 1982, Gallup has polled Americans on whether they believed in Creationism (that mankind was created by God,more or less as it is now, within the last 10,000 years) or evolution (that man has evolved over millions of years from earlier life forms). 46% of respondents held the creationist view. This statistic has been supported, but with more sophisticated analysis,and some qualifications, in the General Social Survey polls in the same period. The belief in Creationism is generally stronger among those with no higher education and the elder age group. It is inconceivable that such a statistic could be replicated in any other developed Western society. Religion is more deeply embedded in American society than other Western countries and the conservative attitudes, particularly on social issues, that flow from this, - patriarchy, hostility to women's rights, particularly over their own bodies and negative attitudes to other faiths and cultures. It also suggests that public education in the USA has some way to go in encouraging critical thinking and an evidence base for core attitudes and beliefs. It was not long ago that Theresa May was seriously suggesting we should look to the USA for someone to oversee our education system!
Donald Trump made no overt religious appeal, other than to ban Muslims, in his erratic electoral addresses, but he did offer a number of policies that would appeal to the conservative mind-set: economic protectionism, withdrawal from military conflict areas, attacks on immigration and the deportation of illegal immigrants, repression of Muslims and other minority groups, rejection of the overwhelming evidence on climate change as a 'Chinese con' and economic regeneration through infrastructure renewal providing working-class employment (not, interestingly, through reviving manufacturing, which Trump is shrewd enough to know would be a non-starter). How this was to be financed was left somewhat vague. In fact, how any of these policies would be paid for was never made clear except the famous wall (now maybe a fence) which would apparently be financed by the very people it was designed to suppress! He would also make extreme conservative appointments to the Supreme Court which could have a devastating impact on progressive politics.
It is undoubtedly true that the destruction of working-class jobs, initiated through the globalised economy that found cheaper production in parts of the world where labour was cheap and unorganised, has taken a severe toll on millions of American blue-collar workers. Equally true that unscrupulous politicians like Trump can make easy capital out of this by blaming immigrants as they reap the financial dividends of their own outsourcing of labour intensive work, and/or using these same immigrants as cheap labour in their own industries as Trump has done in his property speculations. We must be wary of ascribing the success of maverick politicians in the developed world simply to 'populism'. Millions of people are experiencing very real hardship and see no relief or future for themselves or their families from conventional politics.
James Fallows, in an interesting podcast for the American Fresh Air Public Radio service (http://www.npr.org/podcasts/381444908/fresh-air) travelled throughout small town America in the months preceding the election, and points out that, among many other pertinent observations, manufacturing jobs are now being decimated, not by cheaper outsourced labour, but by automation. The old manufacturing / industrial economy will not return to advanced countries like the USA. The traditional blue-collar worker, once the foundation of American prosperity, is now a dispensable commodity and knows it.
To me there is no doubt that another major factor in Trump's triumph was the Democratic choice of Hillary Clinton as candidate. She was hailed as the most qualified candidate ever to stand for President in terms of political experience in stark contrast to Trump's total lack of any electoral political experience at all. The Democratic machine seemed completely unable to see that, in an era of profound disaffection for mainstream politics, this would not be seen as an asset by many ordinary people - witness our own Brexit debacle - but a serious disadvantage. Not only did she have a long history at the top of American politics but, because of this history, she was not trusted either by those on the left or the right.
As First Lady during her husband's tenure in the White House, Hillary Clinton was deeply disliked by those on the right politically, tainted by association, though admired by some on the liberal side of Democratic politics, especially women who sympathised with her personal travails. As Secretary of State under Obama she pursued traditional American Foreign policies, which has always been to fix the world, as far as possible, in the interests of the USA. One incident in particular, when she was Secretary of State, tells us what kind of candidate she really was.
The 2009 coup in Honduras that removed a democratically elected left-wing President, Manuel Zelaya, and replaced him with a right-wing military regime was directly supported by Clinton, and the USA, under her direction, duly backed the new government. Clinton has since admitted she used her power to prevent the return of Zelaya - she certainly didn't want another socialist leader in S. America since the recent election of Hugo Chavez in Venezuela. She subsequently lied about her reasons for supporting the overthrow of an elected president. It would have been impossible for Zelaya to extend his term of office, as Clinton well knew. Honduras quickly descended into a nightmare of drug cartels, political killings and dire poverty resulting in huge numbers of desperate child refugees at the USA borders. Add to this the support for the Iraq war, the war in Afghanistan, intervention in Libya (demonstrating she had learned nothing from the Iraq catastrophe) and Obama's drone killings in Pakistan, Yemen, Somalia and Afghanistan which have killed, at a conservative estimate at least 1500 civilians including around 300 children. Not, of course, that these deaths would trouble many Trump supporters, but the overseas operations would. Hillary Clinton was not undone by misogyny but by her own tainted history and being seen, truthfully, as 'politics as usual'. In James Fallows' view, and he knows the heartlands of America well, Bernie Sanders would have had a much better chance of taking on Trump than Clinton.
We are left with a position of such uncertainty - a man both unstable and completely unpredictable in the White House - that the future is simply unknowable. I am indebted to James Fallows' political blog for reminding me of a poem by the great W.B. Yeats:
To a Friend Whose Work Has Come to Nothing
Related Poem Content Details
Now all the truth is out,
Be secret and take defeat
From any brazen throat,
For how can you compete,
Being honor bred, with one
Who were it proved he lies
Were neither shamed in his own
Nor in his neighbors' eyes;
Bred to a harder thing
Than Triumph, turn away
And like a laughing string
Whereon mad fingers play
Amid a place of stone,
Be secret and exult,
Because of all things known
That is most difficult.
Back in 1961 as I ground through my first year at Secondary school, I never really thought about my future at all. It was just getting through each day that preoccupied me totally. I now had homework to do, so even my evenings were commandeered by the hated school. We were still going to my grandparent's house after school to be looked after until my mother picked us up from work. My two sets of grandparents were Granny and Grandpa Towers and Nanny and Grandpa George. Nanny George set me up on the tiny landing of their house at a folding card table they had there and I would attempt to do the work set while listening to the sound of the television drifting temptingly up from the front room below. Maths was always the subject that drove me to feelings of desperation as I struggled to make sense of the tasks set. I remember one occasion when we must have been staying the night at my grandparents still sitting in front of an impossible set of abstract signs until after ten o' clock when Nanny George came up and tried to help me. She gave up after a few minutes and I went to bed fearful of what my lack of success would bring in the aftermath of the punishment I have already described at the hands of my Maths teacher. As it turned out, it was complete indifference.
I was now eleven years old and fast approaching my twelfth birthday. Not just school was dominating my life; sex was also a matter of obsessive interest, as it was to all of us going through puberty in the hot-house atmosphere of a boys only school. Of course there was no internet to explore this area of interest - there were no computers - and the subject was pretty much taboo in the entertainment offered on the two TV channels. Films were heavily censored and age-controlled and this was long before page 3 of The Sun. Occasionally at school, someone would bring in a copy of a magazine like 'Parade' or 'Titbits', and the images of busty women in swimsuits or low cut dresses would be passed around at break-time, and, despite their tame content, always attracted a small crowd of us younger boys.
This made me remember that, among my grandfather's huge collection of body-building magazines stacked in orange-boxes around his spare room (see earlier post), were several copies of 'Health and Efficiency' magazine. These were full of pictures of young women ecstatically enjoying playing volleyball or sitting tastefully on seaside rocks in windswept parts of Britain and all completely naked - though some random object or awkward sitting position always managed to mask the bits we were most interested in. Although purportedly for naturist enthusiasts of both sexes and all ages, the magazine featured - unsurprisingly - almost exclusively young women.
On my next visit to my grandparents, I took the opportunity to rummage through his magazine collection and sneaked two or three of the H & E's out tucked under the back of my shirt ((I never wondered what the 'efficiency' referred to but am now puzzled). These had completely naked women, albeit strategically covered by various kinds of sports equipment and I decided the best thing to do would be to cut out single pictures that I could easily carry to school in my pocket. This worked well, and I soon had an interested crowd handing round the selected items in the playground at break-time. I was taken by surprise when one of the boys offered me a few pennies to buy a couple of the pics, presumably for future reference. Pretty soon I had sold out and realised there was a potential market here. I had enough cash to buy a bottle of Tizer - my drink of choice, but I rarely had a choice- and some sweets on the way home. The problem was, that I only had one more set of pictures to deal with.
I took these into school a few days later, now having graded the pictures in order of explicitness and priced accordingly. I sold out. But now I was out of stock. I decided I had to invest my new capital in more stock, which I duly did. If I got off the bus to my grandparent's house a stop early, I passed a small newsagent and, after a lot of indecision, I plucked up the courage to go in and pick up a copy of 'Parade' and 'Health & Efficiency'. The lady behind the counter seemed completely unfazed by this transaction, but I was overwhelmed with embarrassment. On my way out of the shop I noticed a rack of magazines hanging behind the door which immediately caught my attention. They were glossy, thick and featured naked women in carefully posed black and white photos, and seemed to be American - and expensive. However, I knew that these would find a top price among my more affluent peers.
That evening, I carefully cut up my purchases, priced them up and realised that if I sold them all I'd have more than enough to buy one at least of the illicit mags I'd seen in the newsagent. I duly passed round my latest batch of material at lunch-time and, once again, I sold out. Now the dilemma. Was it to be Tizer and sweets, or re-investment? With admirable self-control, I once more got off the bus early, entered the newsagents and found to my surprise that I had enough cash to buy two of the 'artistic' glossy magazines hanging on the exotic magazine rack behind the door.
These magazines were presenting themselves as 'artistic' photography, all black and white and featuring artfully composed nudes floating in swimming pools or draped over rocks. I knew these would sell out at higher prices than I had ever tried before. I could buy all the Tizer I could drink. Loads of sweets. And enjoy the photos as well. I cut them up into individual packages of one to three images and priced them higher than any of the others, for obvious reasons of quality.
The only positive I could take from this humiliation was that his response allowed me to pretend to some bravado in the playground when I, with a totally false nonchalance, was able say to my peers - "Yeh ... I know why he wants to take charge of them, don't you? Eh?" I felt inside, not only humiliation, and a strong feeling of shame, but also the certain knowledge that my burgeoning career in the adult entertainment business had come to a shuddering halt and my financial stream had well and truly dried up.






